Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.029213 0.031442 0.033677 0.036081 0.038592 0.041133 0.043897
2025-11-02 0.025194 0.028675 0.032283 0.036289 0.040597 0.045079 0.050079
2025-11-09 0.022626 0.026800 0.031230 0.036253 0.041762 0.047594 0.054207
2025-11-16 0.020599 0.025274 0.030338 0.036184 0.042701 0.049699 0.057739
2025-11-23 0.018837 0.023878 0.029444 0.035973 0.043357 0.051384 0.060710
2025-11-30 0.017404 0.022746 0.028745 0.035887 0.044067 0.053057 0.063603
2025-12-07 0.015868 0.021390 0.027702 0.035327 0.044168 0.053987 0.065611
2025-12-14 0.014442 0.020081 0.026639 0.034672 0.044098 0.054671 0.067295
2025-12-21 0.013092 0.018788 0.025527 0.033898 0.043835 0.055088 0.068633
2025-12-28 0.012646 0.018579 0.025690 0.034612 0.045291 0.057467 0.072207
2026-01-04 0.011931 0.017993 0.025362 0.034709 0.045997 0.058960 0.074748
2026-01-11 0.011186 0.017329 0.024904 0.034620 0.046458 0.060150 0.076924
2026-01-18 0.010785 0.017133 0.025067 0.035346 0.047970 0.062664 0.080761
2026-01-25 0.010128 0.016578 0.024766 0.035498 0.048802 0.064398 0.083722
2026-02-01 0.009452 0.015955 0.024344 0.035469 0.049386 0.065818 0.086295
2026-02-08 0.008813 0.015346 0.023911 0.035401 0.049902 0.067142 0.088745
2026-02-15 0.008167 0.014693 0.023388 0.035193 0.050225 0.068217 0.090888
2026-02-22 0.007616 0.014142 0.022978 0.035108 0.050682 0.069444 0.093203
2026-03-01 0.006936 0.013364 0.022230 0.034555 0.050530 0.069910 0.094590
2026-03-08 0.006275 0.012575 0.021434 0.033910 0.050236 0.070182 0.095727
2026-03-15 0.005626 0.011763 0.020572 0.033147 0.049765 0.070216 0.096558
2026-03-22 0.005482 0.011733 0.020805 0.033851 0.051181 0.072591 0.100249
2026-03-29 0.005162 0.011403 0.020596 0.033946 0.051802 0.073971 0.102721